US Solar Tariff Shock: How 143% Duties Are Reshaping Global Solar Trade
Trade Alert · Solar Industry

Washington Hits 143% Tariffs on Asian Solar — Who Pays, and Who’s Protected?

The U.S. Commerce Department issued preliminary countervailing duties on solar panels from India, Indonesia and Laos on February 24, 2026 — a move that covers $4.5 billion in imports and sets off a chain reaction across the global clean energy supply chain.

Breaking · Trade Solar Industry Feb 24, 2026 · Final ruling: July 6, 2026
Large solar panel installation at a U.S. renewable energy facility amid new U.S. tariffs on imported solar cells and modules
Solar panels across a large-scale U.S. renewable energy site — Washington’s preliminary countervailing duties of up to 143.3% on imports from India, Indonesia and Laos place new cost pressures on projects dependent on foreign modules.

On February 24, 2026, the U.S. Department of Commerce issued preliminary affirmative findings in a countervailing duty (CVD) investigation covering crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and panels from India, Indonesia and Laos. The agency determined that manufacturers in all three countries received government subsidies that created unfair competition for domestic U.S. producers. Together, the three nations accounted for roughly $4.5 billion in U.S. solar imports — nearly two-thirds of the country’s 2025 total. The decision was sought by the American Alliance for Solar Manufacturing and Trade, a coalition that includes First Solar, Hanwha Qcells and Mission Solar, companies with billions of dollars invested in U.S. manufacturing capacity. India’s solar exports to the U.S. alone grew from $83.86 million in 2022 to nearly $793 million in 2024 — a ninefold rise that was central to the injury determination. For context on India’s broader energy ambitions driving that export boom, see KarmActive’s coverage of India’s 500 GW renewable energy push.

Key Facts
India general CVD rate: 125.87% Indonesia general rate: 104.38% Laos general rate: 80.67% PT Blue Sky Solar (Indonesia): 143.3% — highest rate Indian solar exports to US grew 9x from 2022–2024 $4.5 billion in imports affected Final ruling scheduled: July 6, 2026 HTS codes: 8541.42.0010 & 8541.43.0010 Waaree Energies shares fell 14.6% on Feb 25 Premier Energies shares dropped 18% on Feb 25 India general CVD rate: 125.87% Indonesia general rate: 104.38% Laos general rate: 80.67% PT Blue Sky Solar (Indonesia): 143.3% — highest rate Indian solar exports to US grew 9x from 2022–2024 $4.5 billion in imports affected Final ruling scheduled: July 6, 2026 HTS codes: 8541.42.0010 & 8541.43.0010 Waaree Energies shares fell 14.6% on Feb 25 Premier Energies shares dropped 18% on Feb 25

Country-by-Country Duty Rates

Select a country to see the Commerce Department’s calculated subsidy rates for each investigated company.

0% 150% 75%
125.87%
General Rate · India

The Import Surge That Triggered the Case

U.S. imports of crystalline silicon PV cells/modules from the three investigated countries, 2022 vs. 2024. Source: Commerce Dept. fact sheet via U.S. Census / S&P Global Trade Atlas.

India
2022
$83.9M
2024
$792.6M
Indonesia
2022
$177.5M
2024
$415.2M
Laos
2022
~$0
2024
$335.7M
India
Indonesia
Laos
📋
HTS Scope: These figures cover crystalline silicon PV under tariff codes 8541.42.0010 and 8541.43.0010. Commerce’s import tables are drawn from U.S. Census data via S&P Global Trade Atlas and are available in the Commerce fact sheet.

What Does a 126% Tariff Actually Cost?

Enter an import invoice value to see how the preliminary CVD rate translates into a real cash deposit at U.S. Customs. Rates are per the Commerce Department fact sheet.

Invoice Value $100,000
CVD Rate 125.87%
CVD Cash Deposit $125,870
Total at Entry (CVD only) $225,870
⚠ This shows CVD only. Additional antidumping (AD) duties, freight, and insurance are separate. Final rates are subject to July 6, 2026 determination.
“American manufacturers are investing billions of dollars to rebuild domestic capacity and create good-paying jobs. Those investments cannot succeed if unfairly traded imports are allowed to distort the market.”
— Tim Brightbill, Lead Attorney, Alliance for American Solar Manufacturing and Trade

U.S. Factory Investments Behind the Petition

Hanwha Qcells
Cartersville, Georgia
3.3 GW/yr
Multi-GW module production facility. Qcells received a $1.45B DOE loan guarantee for this plant. The company is a South Korean parent investing in domestic U.S. capacity.
First Solar
Multiple U.S. Sites
Multi-$100M
First Solar’s Q4 2025 investor materials quantified tariff exposure to 2026 results and flagged uncertainty in its backlog. The Arizona-headquartered firm produces thin-film CdTe panels, which are not directly covered by these CVD orders.
Mission Solar / OCI Holdings
San Antonio, Texas
$265M
OCI Holdings announced a $265M investment to establish a new solar cell manufacturing line in San Antonio. The plant targets U.S.-made cells to supply Mission Solar’s module lines.

Three Paths Forward

Manufacturing in the U.S. as a Tariff Buffer

Waaree Energies has stated that its Texas manufacturing facility acts as a buffer against import duties. By producing cells and modules on U.S. soil, the company can service its American order book without triggering cross-border CVD or antidumping penalties. This mirrors the strategy of Qcells and Mission Solar, which built the very domestic capacity that now underpins this trade case.

For coverage of the broader solar cell technology landscape, see KarmActive’s solar section.

Waaree Texas plant → bypasses CVD entirely

Absorbing Capacity with India’s 500 GW Target

India has set a national target of 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030. With the U.S. market effectively pricing out imports through 125.87% duties, domestic demand is expected to absorb a significant portion of the manufacturing capacity previously destined for American buyers.

KarmActive has tracked India’s 500 GW renewable energy milestone in detail. The domestic market pivot is likely to intensify competition inside India, potentially benefiting Indian consumers and project developers.

India 500 GW target by 2030 Domestic demand could offset U.S. export loss

Europe and Middle East as Alternative Markets

Companies such as Vikram Solar are increasingly targeting Europe and the Middle East to offset potential losses in the American market. The EU has its own trade framework for solar and is not subject to U.S. CVD orders. The Middle East — a fast-growing solar market — offers additional offtake volume for manufacturers locked out of the U.S. market.

KarmActive covered a major 1.25 GW solar deal in the Middle East, illustrating the scale of demand in that region.

EU not subject to U.S. CVD Middle East solar demand expanding

The Road to Final Duties — What Comes Next

Three separate legal tracks are running in parallel. All three must reach affirmative conclusions for final, enforceable duties. Source: Commerce / ITA.

2024–2025
Earlier Southeast Asia Crackdown
Commerce issued final antidumping and CVD orders on crystalline silicon PV from Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand and Cambodia. Imports from those nations dropped sharply after steep duties took effect — prompting supply chains to pivot to India, Indonesia and Laos.
CVD AD
2025
Petition Filed by Domestic Manufacturers
The Alliance for American Solar Manufacturing and Trade — including Hanwha Qcells, First Solar and Mission Solar — filed petitions with Commerce and the International Trade Commission (ITC), alleging subsidized and below-cost imports from India, Indonesia and Laos.
ITC
Feb 24, 2026 — NOW
Preliminary CVD Determination
Commerce published preliminary affirmative findings. General rates: India 125.87%, Indonesia 104.38%, Laos 80.67%. Importers must now post cash deposits at these rates on all shipments entering the U.S. from these countries.
CVD Preliminary
March 2026 (Expected)
Preliminary Antidumping (AD) Determination
Commerce is expected to issue a separate preliminary finding on whether the same companies sold products in the U.S. “at less than fair value” — i.e., below the cost of production. If affirmative, additional AD duties will stack on top of the CVD rates above.
AD Preliminary
July 6, 2026
Final CVD Determination
Commerce must publish final subsidy rate calculations by this date. Rates can change from preliminary levels — upward or downward — based on final questionnaire responses and verification. Case docket IDs: C-533-943 (India), C-560-847 (Indonesia), C-553-004 (Laos).
CVD Final
2026 (After Final AD)
ITC Final Injury Determination
The U.S. International Trade Commission must independently confirm that U.S. domestic industry was materially injured (or threatened with injury) by the subsidized/dumped imports. Without an affirmative ITC ruling, no duty orders are issued, even if Commerce findings are affirmative.
ITC Final

The Commerce Department’s preliminary CVD determinations covered solar cells and modules from India, Indonesia and Laos, with rates calculated between 80.67% and 143.3% based on assessed government subsidies. The announcement covered approximately $4.5 billion in annual imports and coincided with a sharp decline in share prices for several major Indian solar manufacturers on February 25, 2026. The Alliance for American Solar Manufacturing and Trade, whose petitioner members include First Solar, Hanwha Qcells and Mission Solar, issued public statements supporting the determinations. A final CVD ruling is scheduled for July 6, 2026, and a separate antidumping investigation is ongoing. The legal process was described across Commerce filings and petitioner materials. For additional context on solar technology and global market dynamics, KarmActive has reported on solar efficiency records and the latest high-efficiency module developments.

Karmactive Whatsapp group - https://www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029Vb2BWGn77qVMKpqBxg3D

Sunita Somvanshi

With over two decades of dedicated service in the state environmental ministry, this seasoned professional has cultivated a discerning perspective on the intricate interplay between environmental considerations and diverse industries. Sunita is armed with a keen eye for pivotal details, her extensive experience uniquely positions her to offer insightful commentary on topics ranging from business sustainability and global trade's environmental impact to fostering partnerships, optimizing freight and transport for ecological efficiency, and delving into the realms of thermal management, logistics, carbon credits, and energy transition. Through her writing, she not only imparts valuable knowledge but also provides a nuanced understanding of how businesses can harmonize with environmental imperatives, making her a crucial voice in the discourse on sustainable practices and the future of industry.

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